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"But Murray is different [from Baker] because the offense he plays in suits his skill set, the spread, predominantly in the gun, and he's played in it -- and he's got Nuk," the exec said, referring to Hopkins by his nickname. That's the baseball in him.". Draft Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Jones has an 8-19 regular-season record going into Week 2 of 2021 in replacing two-time Super Bowl winner Eli Manning. PFF famously grades every player on every play. With the Giants finally getting back to the playoffs for the first time since 2016 and winning a postseason matchup for the first time since their Super Bowl run in 2011, the team should want Jones back for a chance to build on that campaign. Although 2020 No. Murray is in the same area as the successes who performed better in terms of EPA than PFF grade, and those successes include Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson. "I'm not trying to play numbers out there. However, if they find a developmental prospect in the middle rounds, New York could take a chance on one of this years quarterbacks. Like us on Facebook to see similar "I'm willing to bring anything and everything that they need from me. The team has also some promising wideoutsincluding 2022 first-rounder Treylon Burkswho could see their development sped up working with Smith. A true dual-threat quarterback who was listed by Florida at 6-foot-4, 232 pounds, Richardson has a simple target on the stopwatch. How Cardinals QB Kyler Murray got bigger but stayed fast for Year 2, The best (and worst) NFL QBs at everything. The team still has plenty of potential and just needs the right hand to guide the offense. I think if you have the opportunity where you have a guy thats on a rookie deal, and hes your guy, and hes playing for you, and hes a guy you feel that you can win football games with, there is an element of capitalizing on that, especially with where quarterback salaries are going, and the guarantees and things like that, Raiders general manager Dave Ziegler told The Athletic in February. Given that tepid showing and a desire to finally contend again in the post-Matt Ryan era, the Falcons should have plenty of interest in Jackson this offseason. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. Where Giants, QB Daniel Jones currently stand on contract terms The Giants drafted Jones and finally saw him blossom into a quality starter last year. In an ideal world, both work out and serve as the starting boundary cornerbacks for quite some time. Gang Green appears to have whiffed on its selection of Zach Wilson at No. Denver is willing Lock's success into existence, doubling down on receivers Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Here's who Spielman had: C.J. While the Texans could opt to thrust this first-year quarterback right into the fire, they may be better served to bring in a veteran like Garoppolo to help turn the team around first. With only one franchise tag at their disposal, can New York reach a long-term agreement with at least one of its high-profile free agents? Daniel Jones Either the third timeis thecharm or the final misfortune another high-upside QBgoing bust with a perfect storm of dysfunction. While they haven't yet locked him up to a long-term deal, they would be remiss not to keep him under contract after honing his talent over the last four seasons. Jones was sacked 38 times over 12 starts and didn't have time to throw anything deep, averaging 6.6 yards per attempt. The Dallas Cowboys will place the franchise tag on running back Tony Pollard if the two sides cannot reach a long-term deal before March 7's deadline, NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport reported Friday, per sources. Baker Mayfield is the latest quarterback to thrive as a rookie and dive in his sophomore season. He's listed at 6-foot, 194 pounds on Alabama's website, but could measure in differently at the NFL Combine. 2 overall and would be wise to move on from the young signal-caller after an abysmal sophomore season. I talked to a handful of scouts last night Every single one of them said Anthony Richardson is the best QB interview theyve had this year.'. Pick: No. The second plot shows quarterbacks who didnt maintain starter status beyond their rookie deal, or players we would consider failed picks.. Assessing Browns' FA needs, Added an NFC exec: "He's smart as hell. Houston is coming off a brutal three-year stretch in which the team has won a mere 11 games while churning through four head coaches and trying multiple options out under center. 1? I found in a previous analysis that combining passing grade- and EPA-based Bayesian forecasts in roughly equal proportions can predict a quarterbacks EPA per dropback better than either alone. Richardson put together an enticing highlight reel in 2022 during his redshirt sophomore campaign, which saw him put up 2,549 yards (212.4 per game) and a 17:9 TD-to-INT ratio through the air, as well as 654 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground. "Just being consistent with my accuracy. With Brady retiring following a tough 2022 season, the Buccaneers find themselves in a strange position. Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Jones did most of his damage against man coverage last season, throwing 20 of his 24 touchdowns in that situation. This article first appeared onEmpire Sports Mediaand was syndicated with permission. Jones may not like That gives him a combined forecast of 68 on a scale of 0-to-100, which ranks seventh of the 45 rookies since 2007 who logged at least 200 dropbacks. "I wanna be a legend," Richardson said. Garrett's plan was to go with the run-heavy offense he operated in Dallas with Ezekiel Elliott, only with Barkley as the new versatile workhorse. A second-round pick is not guaranteed to succeed, so cornerback is one position New York could afford to be volume shooters in this draft class. He's able to make all the throws and still has enough mobility to extend plays and avoid the rush. It's worth remembering that under the Davis' ownership, the Raiders have made plenty of splashy moves throughout their history. The Falcons run a similar scheme under Smith to the one Kyle Shanahan used during Garoppolo's tenure with the 49ers. Pick: No. That's a ton ofwholesale moves in a short period of time to try to support and fix Jones. Come 2024, the Giants could tag him again, at a 20-percent raise over his 2023 pay. 14 overall player and No. "He does a great job for a small quarterback with his vision down the field. Barring an unforeseen turn of events, that looks like the most likely outcome. Jones, who recently changed agencies from Creative Artists Agency to Athletes First, may be targeting a salary as high as $45 million per year. Although owner Woody Johnson reportedly believes Wilson can be "salvaged", shipping him offWFAN's Boomer Esiason believes Wilson's presence may be putting Carr off from joining the Jetsand replacing him with an established veteran would immediately lift New York to contending status. Stroud and Kentucky's Will Levis. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Web"He's got something to him, man," one veteran NFL quarterback said. Jacksonville traded away many of its good players but still has enough to compete. I'm just gonna showcase that tomorrow.". His Bayesian forecast doesn't best his fellow first-rounders because he had fewer dropbacks (245) than both Murray (620) and Jones (527), but if Haskins continues to outperform with more volume, his forecast will separate from the others in 2020. The Giants had been hoping for Jones price tag to come in around $30 to $40 million, which would place him in the middle-class tier of quarterback salaries that also includes Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins. Jones $8.3 million cap charge ranks a reasonable No. Couple all of that with a stout defense, and Lock will have no excuses not to build off his 1,020-yard, seven-touchdown performance on 100-of-156 passing last year. Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Lock posted a 94.3 QBR when facing a blitz last year, a number that ranked second in the NFL in 2019, behind only Derek Carr. Pick: No. They got left tackle Nate Solder and right guard Kevin Zeiter well past their prime with previous teams. With our live draft lobby, you can be drafting a team in minutes. Haskins fared worse than his peers through nine games, completing 58.6% of his passes for 1,365 yards, seven touchdowns, seven interceptions and a 26.8 QBR, which didn't crack the league's top 30. Upgrading the quarterback spot to Jackson would raise the ceiling on this offense immensely. Women's Champ Week predictions: Which teams will win the auto bids in all 32 conferences? If he takes care of the ball, he'll make a big jump.". That number was also second among all rookies since tracking began in 2006, behind only Robert Griffin (2012). Tight end Evan Engram did help a second-year Jones as a security blanket after missing most of '19, but he's hurt again. He ran for more than 70 yards one time, in Week 5 against Cincinnati (10 rushes, 93 yards). Jones and Minshew are in the middle of the pack with the 22nd- and 28th-ranked forecasts, respectively. The team already came to terms with a new head coach in Frank Reich and just needs a viable piece under center to start contending as early as next season. Carr looks like the piece the Jets were missing in 2022. Anthony Richardson landing spots: Which NFL team is most likely to draft toolsy quarterback prospect? This is partly why an NFL coordinator said Murray will eventually be harder to stop than Lamar Jackson. Theres no Desmond Ridder on the Raiders roster. The Commanders could strike a blow to one of their biggest rivals and improve their playoff chances with one splashy free-agency move: signing Jones. Many expected Murray to take off more behind a suspect offensive line, but he averaged 4.9 rushing attempts per game over the final nine games, strengthening those future Russell Wilson comps as a run-to-throw QB. The numbers have not been pretty for Jones. Stroud, Ohio State = Jared Goff: Both prospects were accurate, and possess the necessary arm talent to make all of the throws. But needs to slow it down and play the game more from the neck up. In the 2019 draft, three quarterbacks were selected in the first round: Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray at first overall, Daniel Jones at No. There's one thing about Young that has some scouts worried, and that's his size. XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? Perfect Giants 2023 NFL Draft plan: Get Daniel Jones (or The plot below shows the progression of the passing grade Bayesian forecast for every rookie quarterback from 2007-2019 with at least 200 dropbacks. No. Isn't the sexy pick to win starting jobs, but keeps winning them.". On the flip side, Dwayne Haskins fizzled out fast in Washington and is looking to save his career as a backup in Pittsburgh. All Rights Reserved. ", A post shared by With The First Pick (@nfldraftcbs), Young completed 64.5 percent of his passes for 3,328 yards, 32 touchdowns and five interceptions in 12 games played this past season. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. They were hamstrung by health issues last year but still have the makings of a squad good enough to contend for a championship. 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Daniel Jones Well form forecasts for their true passing ability in terms of grades and expected points added (EPA), properly weighing results based on the sample size of dropbacks and priors, or pre-NFL expectations, based on their respective draft positions. Draft: League execs, scouts, coaches assess QB class NFL combine 40-yard dash: Michigan CB DJ Turner runs one of With hulking size, a big arm and rugged mobility, Richardson routinely draws one particular NFL comp. Sixty quarterbacks attempted at least 50 passes in 2022 Mariota, Ridder, and Jones were among the 13 signal-callers who used play action on at least 30 percent of their dropbacks. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google. 42 | 2019 QBR: 57.7 in five games While Carr isn't coming off his best season, he still managed to earn a Pro Bowl nod after completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 3,522 yards and 24 touchdowns. I'm gonna work, I'm gonna be dedicated to my craft, I'm gonna be a leader in that organization. New York is in deep negotiations with Players the Jaguars could target On the positive side, Jones did have an acceptable TD:INT ratio of 24 to 12 and also directed two Manning-like game-winning drives as a rookie. Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Murray had a 63.3 QBR inside the pocket, which ranked 10th in the NFL. The 2022 NFL season is in the books, and it's now time to turn our attention to draft season. However, Jones success in New York was due at least in part to the offensive structure created by Daboll and Kafka. The veteran will be better supported than he's ever been in his career by Gang Green's tenacious defense and a healthy Hall will provide plenty of firepower on the ground. ", "Now, if this guy was 6-1, 210 pounds, he's a generational type quarterback, in my opinion," Spielman said. "He found a way to make plays late in games for Jacksonville. The Florida Gators product has reportedly crushed his interviews at the Combine (per The Pat McAfee Show). "If you asked me whether I preferred to play Cam, Andy Dalton or Gardner, I'd say Gardner," an NFL assistant coach said. Washington gave a young player minimal chance to succeed. Johnston is a lengthy wide receiver with great top-end speed. The simplest option is sometimes the best one and that is certainly the case here. 11 overall. The season has come to a close for most NFL teams, and now is the time of reflection and reassessment. Minshew was slightly better than Murray this year in EPA per dropback, but Murrays forecast is higher due to his higher draft position and having 120 more dropbacks in his sample. Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit Not every team would be a great fit, however, and these quarterbacks may want to consider more than just the contract they are offered when making their decision on where to sign. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Spielman and host Ryan Wilson also handed out their comparisons for the other top quarterbacks in the class. Will Levis, Kentucky = Josh Allen: Big, strong-armed kids with athletic ability, but have questionable touch and accuracy. After the New York Giants declined his fifth-year option for 2023, Daniel Jones responded by posting the best season of his career and setting himself up for a significant payday. 10:17 am ET, NFL combine 2023: Winners and losers from DB workouts, WR Jordan Addison tells Steelers to 'come get me', TCU's Johnston hopeful to surprise at NFL combine, Cunningham on USFL talk: I'm not playing in that, NFL Draft 2023: Former NFL GM on pro comps for WR, TE, Levis wants to show off his 'cannon' at NFL combine, Perfect Giants NFL Draft plan: Get a No. All four of the 2019 rookies are below the 50% percentile in grade forecast, though Murrays is roughly in the 85% percentile for EPA forecast. "Lamar, you know what you have to do to stop him. While his touchdown numbers weren't amazinghe only threw 15 in 16 gameshe limited his mistakes, throwing just five interceptions after coming into the season with 29 over his first 38 contests. "I don't even know what that means, 'project label,' " Richardson said. We are keeping Stidham out of the top five, with an asterisk, because he didn't play significant snaps last year and the arrival of Cam Newton muddles his outlook. Veteran Kyle Allen believes he's got a legitimate chance to start, but if Haskins improves his play like he improved his physique, he should have the inside track. This class features some intriguing signal-callers, including a couple with boom-or-bust potential. Vinnie Iyer is an NFL writer at The Sporting News. "I wanna be like Patrick Mahomes, I wanna be like Tom Brady -- I wanna be one of the greats, you know, I will be one of the greats because I'm willing to work that hard and get to that point.". Jones, who recently changed agencies from Creative Artists Agency to Athletes First, may be targeting a salary as high as $45 million per year. The 2022 NFL season is in the books, and it's now time to turn our attention to draft season. The truth is that the Giants' offense didn't help Jones much. 1 passer. "He's instinctual," one NFL offensive coordinator said. There may not be many superstar quarterbacks available this offseason, but there are several impact talents set to hit the open market next month. He led the team to a Super Bowl after the 2019 campaign and took the squad back to the NFC Championship Game two years later. The first-round of the 2019 NFL Draft has produced one superstar quarterback in Cardinals No. If Garrett isn't the answer, the Giants need to make to change there, too, looking for one last offenisve spark for Jones. Making a move too early is better than too late, just ask the Cardinals brass, who gave an early hook to Josh Rosen after he produced the second-worst post-rookie forecast since 2007. Unfortunately that dominant defense couldn't carry New York to a coveted postseason berth. Copyright 2019-2023. General manager Dave Gettleman addressed the line in the draft, and a healthy nucleus of Barkley, Engram, Sterling Shepard, Golden Tate and Darius Slayton should give Jones a chance. Relive the NFL's greatest games, original series and more. The Raiders are a tempting landing spot for any free-agent quarterback this offseason. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at Just like the previous December, Jones got hurt again, this time with a hamstring strain adding to more ankle woes. They all add up to putting Jones on the brinkof being abig NFL draft bust, unless he can turn things around quickly. Shepard, a good hands route-runner who can boost any QB when healthy (see Week 1), missed 10 games the past two seasons. Its too early to say that Haskins isnt going to be a success, but the Redskins should be looking at his performance closely this coming season. The Carolina Panthers would like to put the atrocious Matt Rhule era fully behind them in 2023 and there would be no better way to accomplish that than with a new signal-caller. 1-caliber wide receiver capable of winning consistently. Somewhere in the middle with still a wide range of outcomes is Daniel Jones, whom the Giants took No. The 31-year-old could have similar success in Atlanta. Class: Junior School: Alabama Age: 20 (03/20/2002) A former four-star recruit out of Dalton High School in Dalton, 2023 NFL Scouting Combine: Florida QB Anthony Richardson The Seahawks may not see Smith as their long-term answer, but he can still keep this squad afloat and a tough team to beat if he continues playing at the same level. He showed he can lead a winning team if he's supported by a strong running gamesomething Washington has with Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr.and his passing stats should improve thanks to the presence of quality pass-catching talent like Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson. Wideout Chris Olave is coming off a strong rookie year and Alvin Kamara is still one of the league's most dynamic running backs when healthy. Garoppolo was originally expected to be a successor to Tom Brady for the New England Patriots, and while that never panned out, he could end up succeeding the future Hall of Famer as the next starting quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jones also has been sacked 85 times, an average of more than three times per game. He's been a steady hand for the Raiders over the better part of the last decade and could revitalize his career in Carolina. Daniel Jones draft, revisited: Why Giants QB is on the He'll need it to master Jay Gruden's West Coast terminology in short order. "Using my hips. However, ESPNs Dianna Russini reported on Feb. 28 that New York is set on a certain number they think Daniel Jones is worth, a figure that is nowhere near what Jones camp believes hes worth. "When I got to high school, just seeing how dynamic Lamar (Jackson) was, I tried to implement both of those guys in my life. He's got plenty of talent surrounding him at both the wideout and running back position, plus Seattle's young defense should only get better in 2023. Applying Bayesian updating to each dropback for all of the 2019 rookies gives us a best guess forecast for true passing grade for each quarterback, along with ranges of outcomes that reflect the confidence we should have in our assessments. 24 among quarterbacks for 2022, according to spotrac.com. Washington has been a fringe contender for the last few years, but has been held back largely by its inability to find a competent signal-caller. 1 overall picks typically have better careers than quarterbacks taken lower in the draft, even those in the top half of the first round like Jones and Haskins. Jones finished the year roughly where he started, as the analysis expects rookies to perform worse in their first season than in the rest of their careers. The most impactful decision a team can make is whether a quarterback is worthy of drafting, especially in the first round. After posting an underwhelming 53.8 percent completion rate in 2022, the young signal-caller has been working on his mechanics in recent months. While he was inaccurate at times, he ranked ninth in QBR (71.5) against man coverage among the 37 quarterbacks with at least 200 action plays. My analysis is less optimistic about his future, starting him from a lower base due to his poor draft pedigree as a sixth-round pick. "Seems like he's doing better now.". Daniel Jones